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Акции теряют привлекательность относительно облигаций | ProFinance.Ru

Aкции теряют привлекательность относительно облигаций


    Коэффициент E/P индекса Stoxx Europe 600 минус доходность десятилетних бундесов (белым) и коэффициент E/P минус доходность 10-летних трежерис (голубым). Источник: Bloomberg

Акции теряют привлекательность относительно облигаций, и на то есть как минимум две причины. Во-первых, из-за последствий пандемии снижается прибыль корпораций, а, во-вторых, растет доходность облигаций. Премия за риск владения акциями относительно облигаций* опустилась в США* до рекордно низких значений за последние десять лет, а в Европе** находится на минимальных уровнях с начала 2014 года, отмечает Bloomberg.

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ING снизил прогноз курса китайского юаня на конец года | ProFinance.Ru

ING снизил прoгнoз курсa китайского юаня на конец года


    График интервалами в 1 день

ING понижает прогноз по китайскому юаню на конец года, так как ожидает, что во втором полугодии по экономике ударят нехватка полупроводниковых чипов, ужесточение регулирования и меры социального дистанцирования от Covid-19.

Теперь курс доллара к юаню к концу года составит 6,70, по сравнению с предыдущей оценкой в 6,45.

USD / CNY в последний раз торгуется без изменений на уровне 6,4793. ING ожидает, что экономический рост Китая замедлится до 4,5% в годовом исчислении и 5,0% в годовом исчислении в третьем и четвертом кварталах, соответственно, и снижает свой годовой прогноз до 8,9% с 9,2%.

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Акции становятся более привлекательными по сравнению с облигациями | ProFinance.Ru

Aкции становятся более привлекательными по сравнению с облигациями

За последние три месяца доходность облигаций в США и Европе резко упала, несмотря на рост корпоративных прибылей.


    График Bloomberg

Повышение доходности делает акции более привлекательными по сравнению с облигациями, особенно в Европе, где премия за риск по акциям выросла до 15-месячного максимума в 4,5 процентных пункта.

Стратеги Goldman Sachs повысили свои целевые показатели по акциям США и Европы в этом месяце на основе прогнозов более высоких корпоративных прибылей и более низких ставок.